of a Futility Infielder
A good glove man who can't hit his weight tells about how this site
came into existence.
Jay Ballers of the World, Parts I and II
Growing up, few ballplayers shared my first name. Today, we're living
in the age of ballplayers named Jay. Part I covers the pitchers,
Part II the hitters.
of a Yankee Fan
This blast from the past, circa 1998 — back before this website
even existed — attempts to answer the question of how a third-generation
Dodger fan grows up to root for the New York Yankees.
Futility Infielder Vocabulary Lesson
My pals and I have lived and died through so many rallies together
that we've come up with our own unique lexicon to describe certain
the Room in a Winter Wonderland
Along with Bronx Banter's Alex Belth, I trekked down to New Orleans
to attend the annual Winter Meetings, where I got a first-hand glimpse
into the business of baseball and came out smelling like Jerry Reinsdorf's
Independent Pitching Statistics 2002
With a little help from my friends, I run the major league 2002
pitching stats through Voros McCracken's Defense Independent Pitching
Independent Pitching Statistics 2003
Once again, I run an entire season's worth of pitching stats through
Voros McCracken's Defense Independent Pitching Statistic system
and provide links to the latest articles on the topic.
Independent Pitching Statistics 2004
Another season's worth of pitching stats run through Voros McCracken's
Defense Independent Pitching Statistic system, with links to the
latest articles as well.
PRIMER: The Hoyt Scale Re-Revisited
My first piece for this excellent analytical website examines a
method (invented by Rich Rifkin) for evaluating the careers of relief
PROSPECTUS: The Class of 2004 Analyzing the Hitters
My two-part Baseball Prospectus debut, a lengthy analysis of the
players on this year's Hall of Fame ballot using the advanced metrics
from BP's Davenport Translated Player Cards.
BANTER: Yankee Preseason Roundtable
Continuing his Yankee Preview Week, Alex Belth invited me to participate
in an all-star panel ranging from professional writers to bloggers
in which he asked several questions about what we can expect from
the Yankees this coming season. Check this lineup: Allen Barra of
Slate, Jack Curry of the New York Times, Steven Goldman of
YES Pinstriped Bible and Baseball Prospectus, Bruce Markusen of
the Baseball Hall of Fame, ESPN's Rob Neyer, and Sports Illustrated's
Tom Verducci. Some of those guys can write, and I'm thrilled to
participate in such esteemed company.
BANTER: Jorge Posada, Bonafide Bomber
Alex Belth commissioned me to do a piece on Yankee catcher as part
of his Yankee Preview Week. I look at Posada's history, how he fits
in on the Yankees and among the majors' top catchers, and whether
he's got a shot at becoming one of the all-time greats.
WEEKEND BASEBALL BEAT: Making Hay With Jay
Rich Lederer interviews me at length as part of his hot stove series
with prominent baseball bloggers and other writers. From the origin
of the site's name to my all-time post-1969 team to the tangled
history of my rooting interests, Rich gave me enough rope to hang
PROSPECTUS: Prospectus Q & A with Carlos Gomez
My third BP piece is an interview with minor-league pitcher
Carlos Gomez, a sidearming reliever who's established an
Internet presence as "Chad Bradford Wannabe," after the Oakland A's fireman.
With a high school career hampered by injury and a college career
marred by "Ankielitis," you wouldn't expect Gomez to
have a pro career, but this student of the game's willingness to
adapt has created a Moneyball-writ-small tale for the times.
PROSPECTUS: Hank Aaron's Home Cooking
How much help did Hank Aaron get from his ballpark in hitting his
755 home runs? An in-depth look at the home/away HR breakdowns of
Aaron and the top 20 home run hitters of all time.
PROSPECTUS: The Claussen Pickle
The Yankees always seem to be shipping prospects off as they trade
to fill holes. What ever comes of those players? Here's a look at
what's become of the ones the Yanks have traded over the last decade.
PROSPECTUS: One Man is an Island
A little-known tidbit about Barry Bonds — he's never had a
Hall of Fame teammmate — leads to another Baseball Prospectus
article featuring the Jaffe WARP Score (a/k/a JAWS).
PROSPECTUS: Prospectus Triple Play
I've got a new gig writing a trio of featurettes on three teams — the Los
Angeles Dodgers, the Minnesota Twins, and San Francisco Giants — once a
month for BP. Best of all, they're free.
November • December • January • February • March • April
PROSPECTUS: The Class of 2005: The Hitters and The
In which I break out the JAWS (JAffe WARP Score) of life to analyze
the 2005 Hall of Fame ballot.
PROSPECTUS: The Veterans Committee Ballot: JAWS Chews on the Eligibles
Once again, the JAWS (JAffe WARP Score) of life come in handy to
analyze a Hall of Fame ballot. This time it's that of the new Veterans
PROSPECTUS: Roberto Alomar Calls It Quits Within Spitting Distance
of the Hall of Fame
Examining the Hall of Fame case of the great second baseman, who
retired in March.
PROSPECTUS: Prospectus Hit List
Introducing a new feature at BP, one I'll be heading up: a weekly
power ranking of the 30 major-league teams, with appropriately tart
PROSPECTUS: Bronx Baffler
A puzzling offseason leaves me pessimistic about the Yankees' chances
in 2005 and worse, questioning my devotion to the pinstriped team.
YORK SUN: Following the Math to the Postseason
My debut for the New York Sun, inspired by the old axiom that the team
in first place on July 4 will win the pennant. Those without a subscription or
simply desiring a typo-free version that includes the chart I prepared for the
piece (ahem) can download a PDF here.
PROSPECTUS: The Claussen Pickle, Revisited:
An Analysis of Traded Braves Prospects, 1990-2004
year's look at the Yankee organization's track record in trading unproven
talent, I examine a team even more successful at separating the wheat from the
chaff in their farm system.
YORK SUN: A Brave New World Emerges in Atlanta
Having recently immersed myself in studying the Atlanta Braves organization,
my second New York Sun piece examines the contributions of the Braves
rookies, including the sensational Jeff Francoeur. PDF available here.
Out Of Here?
Pinch-hitting for King Kaufman, I make my Salon debut with a piece about the
link between steroids and home run rates, checking in with the recent controversies
and the frequency with which balls are flying over the fences.
PROSPECTUS: Prospectus Hit List: The System, Explained
My weekly feature at BP has drawn a good deal of reader mail,
much of it in the form of outraged comments like, "How can you rank _______ as [high/low]
as you did, you idiot?" Here I explain the method behind the madness, and
offer detractors a chance to kiss my Pythagoras.
ANALYSTS: Hot Doggin' It: A Peek Inside the Sausage Race
In a guest piece for Rich Lederer and Bryan Smith's site, I write about my experience
as a Brewers/Klements Racing Sausage, running in the famous Sausage Race at Miller
Park while wearing a seven foot tall foam costume. Mmmmm, sausage...
YORK SUN: Who Are These Indians, And How Did They Get Here?
My latest piece for the New York Sun examines the hottest team in baseball,
the Cleveland Indians. Through some shrewd rebuilding, the Tribe has put themselves
in playoff contention with the fifth-lowest payroll in the game, with a quintet
of hitters who make under $2 million combined. PDF available here.
PROSPECTUS: Playoff Prospectus: White Sox vs. Angels
In which BP hands me the honor of previewing an American League Championship
Series lacking the Beasts of the East.
SOX NATION: Mind Game Interview
David Laurila interviews me on the topic of BP's new book on the Red Sox 2004
World Championship. Second in a five-part series featuring other BP authors such
as Steve Goldman and Christina Kahrl.
PROSPECTUS: Pell Mel
the longtime Yankee pitching coach heads into the sunset, I examine
his track record in the Bronx as well as my own frequent criticism
of him. Lots more in
the blog as well.
YORK SUN: The Rocket Burns Dimmer in October
Fresh off of Roger Clemens' injury-abbreviated two inning start in Game Two of
the World Series, I examine the Rocket's spotty postseason legacy. PDF here.
PROSPECTUS: Chat with Jay Jaffe
My first-ever chat for BP went into extra innings, breaking the three-hour barrier
as I answered well over 50 questions. GMs were the hottest topic, with questions
on Theo Epstein, Paul DePodesta, Brian Cashman, Doug Melvin and Pat Gillick abounding.
Lots of pro wrestling references, too.
PROSPECTUS: Chat with Jay Jaffe (Jan. 10)
Talkin' Hall of Fame elections, JAWS, Dodgers, and the winter swap meet.
PROSPECTUS: Suspending Disbelief: Up Close at the World Baseball
I went down to Puerto Rico for a long weekend in March and caught two ballgames
and a serious case of WBC fever. Find out what you missed.
PROSPECTUS: Setting the Stage: Pack Your Bag Well
Breaking out JAWS to examine Jeff Bagwell's Hall of Fame chances, and those of
a few other recently retired players.
PROSPECTUS: Chat with Jay Jaffe (March 31)
More JAWS questions, Barry Bonds, the WBC, predictions, and the best day of the
year, Opening Day.
YORK SUN: Making Bernie's Case For a Cooperstown Plaque
With the best days of Bernie Williams' career clearly behind him, how much of
a shot does he have at the Hall of Fame?
PROSPECTUS: Chat with Jay Jaffe (May 23)
Weighing in on the Dodger rookies, the Red Sox rotation, Aaron Heilman and more
while taking questions from around the globe.
YORK SUN: The Chase is on for 73*
Checking in on Barry Bonds' protracted march to top Babe Ruth's 714 homers and
Albert Pujols' shot at eradicating Bonds' compromised single-season home run
PROSPECTUS: Eric Gregg 1951-2006
A look at the tumultuous career and sudden passing of outsized umpire Eric Gregg.
YORK SUN: Out in Arid Los Angeles, the Crops Are Growing
A look at the contributions of a cohort of fine Dodger rookies to the team's
PROSPECTUS: Prospectus Hit List, Remixed
The short week after the All-Star game provided an opportunity to step back from
the weekly Hit List grind to tease out some interesting observations.
YORK SUN: League MVPs Could Be on Mound This Season
Pitchers like Francisco Liriano, Johan Santana and Brandon Webb are among the
best Most Valuable Player candidates according to BP's Wins Above Replacement
YORK SUN: The Unravelling of the World Champions
A look at the Chicago White Sox collapse amid a fantastic three-team AL Central
race. And yes, the Sun articles are now free.
PROSPECTUS: Playoff Prospectus: NLCS Preview, Being
Tony La Russa, and The
I [Heart] New York Matchup
Even with my two teams making early exits, I had plenty to say about the rest
of October baseball, at least for awhile.
PROSPECTUS: Hall of Fame Class of 2007:
Infielders, Outfielders, Pitchers, and Chat
three-part annual roundup of the Hall of Fame ballot, using the Jaffe
WARP Score (JAWS) system, featuring eight players on the ballot worthy
of enshrinement, a few more who were simply fun to write about, and
the bleak dawn of the steroid era's impact on the voting.
NEWS: The Staff of Legends
This site has gotten its first mainstream media exposure, via a
March 2, 2003 article by Dan Brown of the San Jose Mercury News.
In exploring the obscure careers of the SF Giants coaches, including "Chicken" Stanley
and Lenn Sakata, Brown found himself in the Futility Infielder's
wheelhouse, and called me up for a chat.
JOURNAL: Beyond The Box Score
Art Martone, who writes a stat-savvy, Red Sox-themed column called "Art's Notebook" during
the baseball season, gave my site a brief honorable mention in
his roundup of baseball websites.
PROSPECTUS: Things to Do in New Orleans While You Wait
Joe Sheehan relates the sordid tale of my brief ownership of the
analytical website. Easy come, easy go.
JOURNAL NEWS: A Growing Sports Voice
I've made the papers again! Pete Abraham of the Westchester Journal
News surveyed me along with several other New York-area bloggers
and then wrote a lengthy article examining the baseball blogging
phenomenon. I'm the second blogger featured, and Abraham flatters
me as "the Mick" in a Willie, Mickey and the Duke triumvirate
of old-school bloggers.
Page 2: Schilling, Smoltz: In or Out?
Former BP colleague Jonah Keri introduces JAWS to the masses by using it to examine
the Hall of Fame cases of Curt Schilling and John Smoltz in the context of other
active and potentially Cooperstown-bound pitchers.